The odds on Fermanagh South
Tyrone having its first ever female MP
have been shortened considerably
with the decision by Sinn Fein to
select Ms. Michelle Gildernew as its
candidate for the next Westminster
elections, expected next year.The selection of Ms. Gildernew on Monday night may come as
something of a surprise to republicans in Fermanagh - she was
chosen ahead of the Westminster election candidate four years
ago, Mr. Gerry McHugh, and another long-standing party activist
Francie Molloy from Dungannon. All three are members of the
Stormont assembly.
A spokesman for the party said the three MLAs contested the
nomination and that Ms. Gildernew candidature was fully
supported by the losing candidates.
While the procedure by which Ms. Gildernew was selected has
not been revealed, the spokesman for the party said that each
cumann (branch) in the constituency had an input in her
selection.
Nonetheless the selection of Ms. Gildernew ahead of Mr.
McHugh will prompt speculation that the party's leadership had
an influence on the outcome of Monday's convention. In an article
in a Sunday newspaper published in June it was suggested that
Mr. McHugh was regarded in leadership circles as a
"fundamentalist" and that Ms. Gildernew was more in keeping
with the party's new image. The party has also been eager to
promote women up through the ranks.
However it will have been noted that Mr. McHugh has built up a
considerable power base, especially in the Fermanagh end of
the constituency and in the 1997 elections he outpolled the
SDLP's Tommy Gallagher and increased his winning margin in
the 1998 assembly elections.
The worry for Sinn Fein is that choosing a candidate from
outside the county could see Fermanagh voters drifting to the
SDLP if, as expected, that party selects Belleek-based assembly
member Mr. Gallagher.
With sitting MP, Mr. Ken Maginnis, expected not to stand next
time out, both nationalist parties believe there is a realistic
chance of taking the seat, especially if Mr. Maginnis's successor
is in the UUP's 'yes' camp and the Ulster Unionist vote is
affected by a strong DUP showing. That said, the UUP candidate
would still be strongly favoured to win the seat given that a
redrawing of the constituency boundaries has transferred
several thousand mainly nationalist voters to neighbouring
Mid-Ulster.
Although her name is synonymous with the start of the civil rights
campaign - her mother was at the centre of the famous eviction
incident in Caledon in 1968 which prompted widespread
protests about discrimination in housing allocation - Ms.
Gildernew has been an up-and-coming member of the party for
some time.
Formerly based in London where she was head of Sinn Fein's
foreign affairs department, Ms. Gildernew is currently a member
of the social development committee at the Stormont assembly.